Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 27.760599 32.064339 36.728399 42.147510 48.259260 54.927080 62.740195
2024-12-22 18.798264 24.305845 30.868897 39.214814 49.488817 61.662401 77.112335
2024-12-29 15.175282 21.434256 29.460612 40.389113 54.744150 72.804489 97.068357
2025-01-05 13.039638 19.825104 29.069217 42.372685 60.775389 85.044806 119.121392
2025-01-12 10.582191 17.242934 26.843243 41.380455 62.454730 91.443082 133.765181
2025-01-19 8.476511 14.756074 24.302474 39.460934 62.405459 95.200592 144.795102
2025-01-26 7.850489 14.419575 24.843732 42.032968 68.950309 108.590828 170.188850
2025-02-02 7.568670 14.578059 26.128118 45.810331 77.547823 125.497188 201.747367
2025-02-09 6.765319 13.708488 25.615873 46.619851 81.538045 135.705613 223.912102
2025-02-16 5.948014 12.677475 24.684057 46.592465 84.110884 143.815349 243.275083
2025-02-23 5.189208 11.629582 23.577248 46.111133 85.825294 150.592312 260.856435
2025-03-02 4.510271 10.624823 22.412637 45.375199 86.987432 156.469971 277.248195
2025-03-09 3.960513 9.835522 21.628398 45.386859 89.697146 165.496544 300.078853
2025-03-16 3.204486 8.473185 19.564432 42.803518 87.609392 166.413080 309.752608
2025-03-23 2.937186 8.157369 19.560079 44.183610 92.876751 180.335128 342.337436
2025-03-30 2.765645 8.034791 19.938191 46.353073 99.788980 197.580338 381.670923
2025-04-06 2.364731 7.265606 18.806054 45.283484 100.343905 203.411385 401.232249
2025-04-13 1.957011 6.386835 17.290734 43.205662 98.678781 204.993373 413.188092
2025-04-20 1.901220 6.451957 17.977036 45.990957 107.065790 225.864075 461.452937
2025-04-27 1.917816 6.725740 19.195720 50.078448 118.436404 253.036097 522.736776
2025-05-04 1.756765 6.447323 19.017677 50.954014 123.115075 267.571184 561.086638
2025-05-11 1.569832 6.049194 18.479525 50.924398 125.838566 278.420463 592.983098
2025-05-18 1.384269 5.611652 17.772506 50.403814 127.426011 287.069864 621.046734